Do you really want pro-dictatorial activists teaching your kids? The CTU thinks so…
When Illinois saw Colorado’s apparent windfall in legal pot, they decided to get some of that action. And promptly did it wrong. Of course.
One of the things I didn't cover in my Foundational Beliefs post was abortion. In my post on the new spate of heartbeat laws, I also didn't take a position on the issue. I did take issue with the misrepresentations and outright lies about how these laws deal with...
The new abortion law in Alabama is about 1800 words long, a nicely compact piece of legislation. Have ANY of the people sounding off about it read it?
Less than two months to go, and D Construction has yet to finish the first half of the Cicero Ave bridge…after a year.
Couple of quick thoughts on some recent criminal cases, and their developments. AJ Freund For those unaware, last month, AJ Freund's parents reported him missing. He was said to have left in the night, no one knew how or why. That is a red flag statement. By claiming...
VP candidate Elizabeth Warren is making a lot of noise about forgiving some student loans. Mostly for households earning less than $100,000 per year. Needless to say, this is very popular with a lot of people, mostly those with '__ Studies' degrees. From the right...
21 people have tossed themselves into the ring for the dubious honor of being the 2020 Democratic nominee. Or, as the DNC has it, Biden’s running mate…
When we last left the steaming mess that is the Smollett case, Chicago was suing to recoup $130,000 in overtime costs for the investigation, and every suburban chiefs of police organization had voted 'no confidence' in Cook County Prosecutor Kim Foxx. And I thought...
What are the foundations of Blind Lemur Conservatives? What do we believe? BLC’s foundational beliefs are core to understanding our goals, and hopes.
The problem with not doing this as a full-time thing (or with a collection of co-bloggers to pick up slack) is that sometimes reality is so far out of alignment that it takes too long to synthesize a post. By the time it's ready, some other nonsense has happened, and...
So the Cook County prosecutor is trying to back up their fabrication from yesterday - that Jussie Smollett didn't get special treatment. CBS Chicago has an internal memo requesting staffers find examples of cases handled similarly to Smollett. The reason for this is...
It has been 18 years.
We need to remember something today. We need to remember that intolerance of those who chose to be different killed almost 3000 people. Many innocent of anything more than not praying to a specific name of God. Many as heroes, rushing in to save their fellow Americans.
And a few as mass murdering swine.
There is nothing gained from forgetting this. Nothing gained from downplaying the event, or the cause. People did this. Not ‘some people did something’ or ‘airplanes hit’. People. People motivated by hate, envy, inferiority in culture and society, and a faith that their god wants all of us to die.
As Christians, we are called to forgive them. And I do. They bear the responsibility for their actions. They were also lied to by evil people bent on making others pay for their inadequacies. There is only so much you can do to resist your environment, after all.
I originally posted this over on LiveJournal on September 11, 2002.
11 September 2001. That date is a landmark in America. It joins 04 July 1776; 07 December 1941; and 22 November 1963 as dates that define the American historical landscape. Turning points, if you will. Moments that one knows where they were, and what they were doing. This is about that memory. An exorcism, if you will, an exercise in recollection.
I am beginning this document on August 07, 2002, mainly to leave enough time to finish, edit, polish, and revise before I post it. It is my hope that people reading this will respond with their own stories, thoughts, and hopes for the future. This is intended to be apolitical, and I will, if needed, enforce that. I am not asking for you to hold back, but I don’t want people soapboxing about conspiracy, evil government, or such. My journal, my rules. Nya.
The day started like any other that September, that is, looking for a job. I had been fired in late August, and had no leads. I was planning to file for unemployment that day, and hit Target and some other places. Possibly sell plasma or something for quick cash. Like most days, I had CNN Headline News on, and they were running a fluff piece, even by September 10 standards. My father was up, and waiting for the Charter Cable guy to show up to install the digital cable service. He had taken the day off, and was in the kitchen. CNN broke in, with a report of the World Trade Center on fire. I looked up, and saw the billows of smoke, and leapt up, strode to the kitchen, and told Dad that he was going to work, as the WTC was on fire. He looked up, and went into the bedroom to turn on the TV there. I returned to my room, thinking nothing of it but a high-rise fire.
Then the CNN field reporter mentioned that it had appeared that an airliner had crashed into the tower. My trivia-soaked mind was cast back to July 28, 1945, when a B-25 bomber crashed into the Empire State building. That was in fog, but a crashing airplane is often hard to control, and it was just an accident. I was solidly convinced that this was the most reasonable explanation, indeed, the only one. Then the second plane hit.
I knew now that I was watching history in the most real sense. This was a day the world changed. The commentary went from rumors of a crash to…honestly, I can’t recall. Something less than Herb Morrison‘s “Oh! The humanity!” at the crash of the Hindenburg. My focus narrowed, and I felt my mind slip into a strange place. I had been there before. This was my ‘information overload’ mode, used for absorbing more information than is healthy. Last time I used it was when the Murrah building in Oklahoma City was destroyed. But then my father cut through my fog. He reminded me that I had to go and apply for jobs, that couldn’t be put on hold. I think, in a way, that set my mindset over the whole thing. More on that later.
As I drove about Birmingham, the radio was solid coverage, and everywhere TVs had been placed to allow the news to be delivered. I stood in Target, shocked to the core, as the first tower fell. The second fell while I was in the local employment office, waiting to be called back. By then, I was overwhelmed. I sat in the back reading while everyone around me watched the sole TV. The musak was off. That sticks, for some reason. I recall hearing that Bush, told of the disaster while in a classroom in Florida, was somewhere in Air Force One, and there was an implied criticism of his actions, as if he could have made a difference. Still, no one knew what was next, or if it was over. It felt like a surreal slice of history. Almost like Orson Wells’ broadcast of War of the Worlds. I wanted to disbelieve, but the images were constant.
At this time, no one knew what was actually happening. There were rumors of planes down across New England. There was only one, of course, Flight 93. Downed by the passengers as the alternative to smashing into a building. Even then, I knew two things. Hijacking of planes with Americans on board had ended, and we were going to war.
The rest of the day is a blur of memory, or lack thereof. I recall hearing that the Pentagon was hit, and most of official Washington evacuated. But that was lost in the horrors from New York. And in there came the thought, what if Laura Bush was killed? I recoiled in horror at where that led. America holds several onlys in the books. Included is the only company to use atomics on another country. I feared for the villains of this play. America’s wrath, once roused, has proven to be great.
In Palestine, people danced in the streets, celebrating. In Birmingham, people celebrated too. At the bus station. It is, for them, lucky no one but a passing patrol officer saw them. This, more than anything drove home the point that people can hate, and hate those who have never done them harm or injury. That, as much as anything was a cold shock. Or, more accurately, a cold shock to move from a mere acceptance of the theory to visual, permanent, evidence of the fact backed by deeds.
And time passed. And memories smoothed. And now a year has passed.
What has the time to reflect brought? New York is changed, forever. The heroes of Flight 93 set a new standard in Americanism. No one can do less. Thus, where a hijack was an inconvenience, and free trip to Uganda or something, now it means death to the hijackers, we have a standard to uphold. The government has scared me more this year than at any time in my life. Combined. This business of vague, unsubstantiated warnings, shadow governments, and such is not comforting. And I like Bush. We have mobilized, and taken a foreign government from power in a matter of months. That has never been done before. We have ordered our military to shoot down airliners. That has never been done before.
But what my Father said that morning, as the world ended around us all, still holds. We can’t let this stop us from doing what needs doing. And that life goes on.
Most of all, life goes on.
The song for today comes from VNV Nation. VNV stands for Victory not Vengeance. On their first full length album, Praise the Fallen, they included a song called Honour. The lyrics are below.
Passive fields. January two thousand and twelve.
A nation that stands alone.
Cold voices, faces pale,
gathered unto their judgement day.
Such words remain unspoken.
Such pride remains unbroken.
Just mothers to stand in vain and cry.
Tears and medals in the rain.
Shall I recall when justice did prevail?
No reason to be found why reason did fail.
The all clear resounding.
The way was clear to rebuild this land.
Shall I call on you to guide me well,
to see our hopes and dreams fulfilled?
On this day of our ascension.
Stand your ground this is what we are fighting for.
For our spirit and laws and ways.
Cry havoc and let slip the dogs of war.
For heaven or hell we shall not wait.
Shall I think of honour as lies
or lament it’s aged slow demise?
Shall I stand as a cold reminder
on this day in this stone chamber?
The all clear resounding.
The way was clear to rebuild this land.
Shall I call on you to guide me well.
To see our hopes and dreams fulfilled.
On this day of our ascension,
on this day we praise the fallen.
Stand your ground this is what we are fighting for.
For our spirit and laws and ways.
Cry havoc and let slip the dogs of war.
For heaven or hell we shall not wait.
Shall I think of honour as lies
or lament it’s aged slow demise?
Shall I stand as a cold reminder
on this day in this stone chamber?
Makes me think.
I kind of hate that the title is that long. But sometimes it needs to be what it is.
The Chicago Tribune is reporting that three teachers and an organizer, all members of the Chicago Teacher’s Union, visited Venezuela in July. This shows poor judgement by being a tacit (at the minimum) endorsement of the socialist policies that have turned Venezuela into the nightmare it is today. To make things worse, they described themselves as a ‘delegation’ from the CTU. Thus implicating that already questionable organization in the group’s declarations of support for Venezuela’s dictator, Maduro.
In fairness, while calling themselves a delegation from CTU, it is clear in their blog post that the Union did not fund them:
This blog represents the members delegation of the Chicago Teacher’s Union that are currently in Venezuela to learn from educators and activists on the ground. We are three rank and file charter school teachersand one CTU organizer. We organized this delegation ourselves and fundraised for the trip independent of the CTU. While CTU did pass a resolution in support of Venezuela, they did not plan this delegation or give any type of financial support.http://radicaleducatorcollective.org/introduction-to-ctu-delegation-to-venezuela/
I believe that anyone who is that absurdly ignorant of the reality on the ground in Venezuela should not be allowed to teach. That these three, Sarah Chambers, Valeria Vargas, and Fabiana Casas (and ‘organizer’ Richard Berg) can endorse, and by implication lead the CTU to endorse, someone like Maduro is proof of lack of fitness for the job.
Sarah Chambers, Valeria Vargas, and Fabiana Casas’ licenses to teach should be immediately and permanently revoked.
I wonder if they will call anyone racist…
And of course, the predictable response is there too. One of the so-called delegates, Sarah Chambers, tweeted this in response to the Tribune article:
Of course. Racist.
Remember, if a leftist calls you racist, and you know you aren’t, you hurt them somehow. They literally cannot deal with being criticized any other way.
For some reason, there are some features of the IL Cannabis Act that you may have missed…
Until October, only medical dispensaries can sell legally, and to do so requires a non-refundable deposit of 3% of their annual sales, or $100,000, whichever is less. This is termed the ‘Cannabis Business Development Fee’.
The state is also working to create virtual monopolies. For those not in the medical side seeking a license, the following is the total number available:
- Bloomington: 1
- Cape Girardeau: 1
- Carbondale-Marion: 1
- Champaign-Urbana: 1
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin: 47
- Danville: 1
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island: 1
- Decatur: 1
- Kankakee: 1
- Peoria: 3
- Rockford: 2
- St. Louis: 4
- Springfield: 1
- Northwest Illinois nonmetropolitan: 3
- West Central Illinois nonmetropolitan: 3
- East Central Illinois nonmetropolitan: 2
- South Illinois nonmetropolitan: 2
That’s it. Want to compete with the single recreational dispensary in the Davenport area? Tough. If they are overcharging, it’s back to the street dealers. 20+ pages later, we find that after 2022, the number of licenses may be raised. With an absolute cap of 500. At least until that is amended. The increase is to ‘reduce or eliminate’ various barriers. This is the part people likely mean when they envision pot shops replacing liquor stores in lower income neighborhoods.
Applications are $5000, and are, of course, non-refundable. By the way, this information is on pages 84 & 85 of a 610 page bill. There are 16 pages of definitions at the beginning.
The requirements for application are long too, so they are under the accordion below, check them out if you wish.
Just To Apply To Run A Store...
- An applicant must meet the following requirements:
- Payment of a nonrefundable application fee of $5,000 for each license for which the applicant is applying, which shall be deposited into the Cannabis Regulation Fund;
- Certification that the applicant will comply with the requirements contained in this Act;
- The legal name of the proposed dispensing organization;
- A statement that the dispensing organization agrees to respond to the Department’s supplemental requests for information;
- From each principal officer, a statement indicating whether that person:
- has previously held or currently holds an ownership interest in a cannabis business establishment in Illinois; or
- has held an ownership interest in a dispensing organization or its equivalent in another state or territory of the United States that had the dispensing organization registration or license suspended, revoked, placed on probationary status, or subjected to other disciplinary action;
- Disclosure of whether any principal officer has ever filed for bankruptcy or defaulted on spousal support or child support obligation;
- A resume for each principal officer, including whether that person has an academic degree, certification, or relevant experience with a cannabis business establishment or in a related industry;
- A description of the training and education that will be provided to dispensing organization agents;
- A copy of the proposed operating bylaws;
- A copy of the proposed business plan that complies with the requirements in this Act, including, at a minimum, the following:
- A description of services to be offered; and
- A description of the process of dispensing cannabis;
- A copy of the proposed security plan that complies with the requirements in this Article, including:
- The process or controls that will be implemented to monitor the dispensary, secure the premises, agents, and currency, and prevent the diversion, theft, or loss of cannabis; and
- The process to ensure that access to the restricted access areas is restricted to, registered agents, service professionals, transporting organization agents, Department inspectors, and security personnel;
- A proposed inventory control plan that complies with this Section;
- A proposed floor plan, a square footage estimate, and a description of proposed security devices, including, without limitation, cameras, motion detectors, servers, video storage capabilities, and alarm service providers;
- The name, address, social security number, and date of birth of each principal officer and board member of the dispensing organization; each of those individuals shall be at least 21 years of age;
- Evidence of the applicant’s status as a Social Equity Applicant, if applicable, and whether a Social Equity Applicant plans to apply for a loan or grant issued by the Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity;
- The address, telephone number, and email address of the applicant’s principal place of business, if applicable. A post office box is not permitted;
- Written summaries of any information regarding instances in which a business or not-for-profit that a prospective board member previously managed or served on were fined or censured, or any instances in which a business or not-for-profit that a prospective board member previously managed or served on had its registration suspended or revoked in any administrative or judicial proceeding;
- A plan for community engagement;
- Procedures to ensure accurate recordkeeping and security measures that are in accordance with this Article and Department rules;
- The estimated volume of cannabis it plans to store at the dispensary;
- A description of the features that will provide accessibility to purchasers as required by the Americans with Disabilities Act;
- A detailed description of air treatment systems that will be installed to reduce odors;
- A reasonable assurance that the issuance of a license will not have a detrimental impact on the community in which the applicant wishes to locate;
- The dated signature of each principal officer;
- A description of the enclosed, locked facility where cannabis will be stored by the dispensing organization;
- Signed statements from each dispensing organization agent stating that he or she will not divert cannabis;
- The number of licenses it is applying for in each BLS Region;
- A diversity plan that includes a narrative of at least 2,500 words that establishes a goal of diversity in ownership, management, employment, and contracting to ensure that diverse participants and groups are afforded equality of opportunity;
- A contract with a private security contractor that is licensed under Section 10-5 of the Private Detective, Private Alarm, Private Security, Fingerprint Vendor, and Locksmith Act of 2004 in order for the dispensary to have adequate security at its facility; and
- Other information deemed necessary by the Illinois Cannabis Regulation Oversight Officer to conduct the disparity and availability study referenced in subsection (e) of Section 5-45.
Working there will cost the employee $100 for their ID card. Not too far off from what security is required to pay, but also not easy if you’ve been out of work for a while.
And Then The Taxes Begin…
7% on the grower’s sale, paid by the grower
Buyers face the following excise taxes:
- Any cannabis, other than a cannabis-infused product, with an adjusted delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol level at or below 35% shall be taxed at a rate of 10% of the purchase price;
- Any cannabis, other than a cannabis-infused product, with an adjusted delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol2 level above 35% shall be taxed at a rate of 25% of the purchase price; and
- A cannabis-infused product shall be taxed at a rate of 20% of the purchase price.
- The tax imposed under this Article shall be in additionThe tax imposed under this Article shall be in addition to all other occupation, privilege, or excise taxes imposed by the State of Illinois or by any municipal corporation or political subdivision thereof.
So, for an eighth of an ounce, street prices in Chicago are about $40 according to http://budzu.com/prices/usa/illinois/chicago. Let’s pretend that will stay consistent. So, your dispensary price in Chicago will be $48.51 – $55.13. Since the law makes all pot possession no longer an issue, why pay the state $8 – $15 more? This has been seen in other states. The Chicago Sun Times estimated pot prices of about $60 for an eighth of an ounce, which is in line with my basic finding.
And remember, there is a hard limit on the number of stores, and those beyond existing medical dispensaries won’t be live until 2022. So yeah, no instant tax boon here.
Illinois is pretty good at screwing up taxes.
So what we have is a law that allows use, but at a very high cost, and despite claims to the contrary, isn’t likely to see any development in economically depressed communities. After all, with the costs associated with the mere starting of the business, why risk it in a bad neighborhood or town? It’s just too expensive a thing to mess up.
One of the things I didn’t cover in my Foundational Beliefs post was abortion.
In my post on the new spate of heartbeat laws, I also didn’t take a position on the issue. I did take issue with the misrepresentations and outright lies about how these laws deal with women seeking abortion. Also, I want to add a comment on the Georgia law. It does not say that women will be prosecuted. It does redefine when life, and thus full legal personhood, begins. This is unique to Georgia.
Georgia is granting ‘person’ status to an 8 week old fetus. That opens the door to prosecution. Prosecution is not explicitly stated, but may be inferred. If that is the unspoked intent, then yes, leaving the state for an abortion will be a chargeable offense. Georgia would view that as no different than travelling out of state to kill your sibling.
And that opens one to federal charges of crossing state lines in the commission of a felony. That would be an interesting case to read. But that’s not the point of the post.
And one last aside, the Wikipedia article on heartbeat laws does not link to the Georgia law. Others, yes, but not Georgia. They only use secondary sources.read more…
I have been saying for years that if you have a valid position or cause, but lie about it, you harm the cause. You give the opposition the ability to throw that lie in your face endlessly. You undermine the very issue you want to highlight. Abortion is one of the most dishonestly discussed topics out there, and it’s back in the spotlight.
The new abortion law in Alabama is one of these things. It is about 1800 words long, a nicely compact piece of legislation. Have ANY of the people sounding off about it read it?
Nope. They haven’t bothered to educate themselves.
The law is available for anyone to read: http://alisondb.legislature.state.al.us/alison/searchableinstruments/2019RS/bills/SB211.htm
What is DOES NOT DO is hold a woman legally liable for having an abortion. In fact, it addresses that specifically:
Section 5. No woman upon whom an abortion is performed or attempted to be performed shall be criminally or civilly liable. Furthermore, no physician confirming the serious health risk to the child’s mother shall be criminally or civilly liable for those actions.http://alisondb.legislature.state.al.us/alison/searchableinstruments/2019RS/bills/SB211.htm
Huh. Not just nothing mandating prosecution, but language specifically and explicitly blocking such charges. The law also specifically states that in the event of legal challenge, it is not in effect, and the previous laws apply.
Section 8. The construction of existing statutes and regulations that regulate or recognize abortion in Alabama that are in conflict with or antagonistic to this act shall be repealed as null and void and shall recognize the prohibition of abortion as provided in this act. If this act is challenged and enjoined pending a final judicial decision, the existing statutes and regulations that regulate or recognize abortion shall remain in effect during that time.http://alisondb.legislature.state.al.us/alison/searchableinstruments/2019RS/bills/SB211.htm
It’s like the people claiming that women will be jailed for seeking an abortion, even out of state, will face felony charges have no interest in the truth.
Hint: they don’t.read more…
Less than two months remain for D Construction to complete the Cicero Ave. bridge over I57. Per the IDOT Current Road Construction Report, the completion date is still 6/30/19, and the southbound lanes are not finished. Given their glacial pace, it looks like the southbound lanes might make the deadline.
As we have covered previously, there is a new logistics park slated to be built just south of this bridge. Keeping it under construction for, based on the southbound debacle, another year, seems like a great way to sabotage the logistics development.
The same company, D Construction, has also been awarded the contract to redo the 167th street bridge over I57. That is contract number 60T43, detailed plans of which are found here. Interestingly, they are already behind. The CRCR lists project dates of 04/08/2019 to 10/18/2019. It’s a month in, and nothing has been done, except blocking the lanes off.
This makes for another project that looks to be vastly overdue.
And this is another roadblock to the logistics park. Since D Construction looks to be on the ‘one year per side’ plan, they will have succeeded in limiting traffic into and out of the park twice. This results in one point of expressway access, at I57 & Vollmer Road, about 5 miles south of the construction site. Those miles add up.
What will be done about it? This is Illinois, so nothing. This level of contempt for the people of the state is why we are hemorrhaging population. And now the Mandarins in Springfield want to increase gas taxes to $.44/gallon (more than doubling it), and make licenses and registration more expensive (double on licenses, by half for registration) to boot. Honestly, if you can leave this banana republic, now is the time.
Before they tax that too.
Couple of quick thoughts on some recent criminal cases, and their developments.read more…
VP candidate Elizabeth Warren is making a lot of noise about forgiving some student loans. Mostly for households earning less than $100,000 per year.
Needless to say, this is very popular with a lot of people, mostly those with ‘__ Studies’ degrees. From the right comes rejection beyond the usual ‘a Democrat proposed it’. That is centered around the idea that many, many people took loans, and paid them, so why can’t everyone do the same. It is a decent enough argument, if you ignore the deep flaws. Some of the thinkers on the right see the flaw. Due to loans being extended to everyone who wants one, the cost of college bloated, benefiting the universities. That at the expense of the students. They propose that the colleges bear the burden of ensuring that they can justify their expense, and then cover the loans when the degree they confer is worthless.read more…
It is still April, and about 20 candidates have tossed themselves into the ring for the dubious honor of being the 2020 Democratic nominee. Dubious, since history shows that presidents who have Trump’s numbers at this point are reelected. Pretty much always.
Dubious is also appropriate because the increasingly totalitarian base of the Democratic Party is demanding purity over electability. And that never ends well – for anyone.
Despite the increasingly radical stance of the left (CNN is even breaking ranks over letting incarcerated felons vote), there are a lot of centrists in the field. Red meat for the grinder? Maybe. I think this is another example of the inner party not knowing their base anymore. The GOP has this same problem – but the GOP base isn’t as insane as the Democratic Party base.
The first hurdle for these 21 candidates is in June. In order to qualify for the first debate, they need to poll at 1% support in at minimum three approved official polls for either the national level or the first four primary states and they need to receive donations from at least 65,000 unique donors, with at least 200 unique donors per state in at least 20 states. I can support that – it weeds out the likely also-rans fast, and lets the DNC focus on protecting Biden.
For the format, each of the candidates, as of April 26 is listed in alphabetical order, with a brief explainer of who they are, and my take on their chances in the second paragraph. Each photo is the same width, and the logos may be sized to not cover the photo. All photos and logos come from the Wikipedia 2020 Election page. About those logos – some interesting color choices in there. A lot of darker colors instead of the official DNC blue. That’s different. The fonts are mostly standard, nothing too wacky. Interesting is the candidates whose teams don’t include a designer who understands that SVG is the way to go. There are far more than I expected in 2019. It isn’t a political statement, but it does seem out of touch in the design realm.
So, to each of these poor saps, good luck. The fix is probably already in for Biden, so the rest of you are running for VP. Unless Clinton or Michelle Obama enters the race…then it becomes anyone’s guess who the DNC will pick.
Ah, good old ‘Gropey’ Joe Biden. Two-time failed nominee, President Obama’s VP, and serial groper of women. Biden is, of course, exempt from the requirement to be shunned because of his treatment of women because he was the Chosen One’s VP. He also is known for calling Obama “I mean, you got the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy, I mean, that’s a storybook, man.” Classy!
Biden is the likely nominee, unless Hillary Clinton or Michelle Obama enters the fray.
Booker is one of those people who likes to make up stories to seem cool. Ask his imaginary friend ‘T-Bone’. He is another of the Democratic Party’s economic morons, supporting the ‘Medicare for all’ concept, higher taxes, and the usual suite of talking points.
Booker won’t be the nominee, although he might last deep into the primary season.
Pete Buttigieg is interesting. On the surface, he seems like a lock – young, gay, smart, and he check most of the policy boxes. But, there is some pushback from the far left. Something about being centrist. Interesting. His election numbers are pushing North Korean levels – 74% & 80% in his first and second term – so there is something there. But not this cycle.
Pete Buttigieg won’t be the nominee, and his unpronounceable last name is why. Seriously.
Ok, I admit, I know nothing about this dude. Interestingly, if he manages to claim the nomination, Castro would be the first Democratic presidential nominee since 1924 to not serve as vice president, governor or senator. His Wiki page is incredibly light on details. He does seem to be in the identity politics racket, which should be an immediate DQ.
Honestly, he isn’t likely to make it past Iowa. He won’t poll well among the legions of children traumatized by the evil Santa in ‘Hardrock, Coco and Joe’, as he bears an uncanny resemblance to said demon.
Another also-ran. Delaney checks one of my personal boxes – he didn’t seek reelection as a rep from Maryland in order to focus on his 2020 White House run. That is the honorable decision, and one I notice others in this list didn’t make.
He’s doomed – he is centrist, moderate, and not (it seems) extreme on any issue. He even believes in equality. Doomed. You don’t win with this party by being reasonable.
Who? Seriously, who is she? She seems to be isolationist, which is an interesting position to take. She is also first Samoan American and the first Hindu member of Congress.
Habbard is another one who might rise to also-ran status, but likely won’t make any impact in the race. Interestingly, she is a major in the Hawaii Army National Guard.
I would call her another unknown, but she is known – for calling for potential Biden VP choice Al Franken to resign after photos of him groping a sleeping woman surfaced.
She is also doomed to not even make also-ran status. She is a centrist in a radical climate, and has a past defending tobacco companies and being anti-illegal immigration. Doomed.
Well, Gravel wins the coolest name in the race award. Despite sounding like a Mickey Spillane knock-off character, Gravel has been in politics longer than some of these candidates have been alive. He is running as, it seems, a spoiler. “The goal will not be to win, but to bring a critique of American imperialism to the Democratic debate stage.”
He doesn’t want votes, just exposure and an audience. Frankly, I don’t see him getting either.
Hey, someone else that I have heard of! Kamela Harris is the doofus who fought for a law to hold parents accountable, criminally (including jail time) for truant kids – and now is shocked her law is being used to send parents to jail. Shocked! She also was listening to Tupac and Biggie before they released any albums, which is impressive.
She will make it past the first several primaries, but her record as a prosecutor dooms her. At every level, she defended prosecutorial misconduct. So, she is out.
Another of the candidates with no national profile. In a fair world, he would be a contender – he served as governor of Colorado, and thus has actual executive experience. He is also not a lawyer, which is nice to see.
Another doomed centrist. And he is establishment, which hasn’t been a good thing for a while now. Won’t make it to the convention as a viable candidate, which is unfortunate. President Hickenlooper is funny.
Another governor! And another person without a national stage. He does make a valid point about that though – Carter & Clinton were also unknowns until they became President. But that was a different time, and those may be the exceptions.
Inslee seems like too much of a single-issue candidate. Like Gravel, he seems to be in it to draw attention, not to win. He just doesn’t know that yet. A successful Inslee campaign will focus lots of attention on climate issues, as he drops out after a few primaries.
As the first female senator from Minnesota, Klobuchar has some chops. She also had to ask people to cheer at a recent town hall appearance, so there is that. Klobuchar seems like another Dem centrist, which is code for ‘doomed’ in this cycle. She also, apparently, once classified pizza sauce as a vegetable. Which isn’t technically wrong, after all.
Centrist = Doomed. But, her profile as a strong senator (who won reelection last year, so there is that issue) makes her a good VP candidate. I expect her to make several short lists.
Ok, seriously, the mayor of Miramar. No, not the one in Top Gun, the one in Florida. Messam is the son of immigrants, which is cool – and that he is running for President is nifty for a 1st gen American. Good on him! He has no real platform beyond the usual ‘gun control’ nonsense. Oh, and he jumped on the ‘cancel student loans’ bandwagon.
Not a contender. I don’t think he makes it past Iowa. If he gets to Iowa.
A backbencher from Salem, Massachusetts? Really? This is a 2019 Democrat straight from Central Casting – his views are as stock as they come. Except for being in favor of more nuclear plants, that is a bit radical for the Dems.
Another bland white dude, who commits the cardinal sin of favoring nuclear power (which is good – more nuclear plants are what we need, but the left prefers to change the climate and kill birds). His contribution to the 2020 race will be as a tough trivia answer.
Robert Francis O'Rourke
Ah, the poster child for cultural appropriation! Bobby is Welsh/Irish, but uses a Hispanic nickname to pretend to be of that culture. And the left loves it! Loves it so much that he is listed on the candidates site and Wikipedia by that nickname. Bobby is everything the left pretends to hate – privileged, white, claiming a heritage not his own. And they love him for it! And then there were the pranks: the remote-controlled cockroach in the kitchen, the “Psycho”-style scares in the shower. One time, according to a friend, Beto collected an especially verdant turd from one of their kids’ diapers and put it in a bowl, telling Amy it was avocado. (Neither would confirm this, though Beto did allow it sounded like something he’d do.)
Sadly, the Democratic Party is so deranged that this fraud stands a good chance of being a contender, and possible VP candidate.
President Obama inadvertently (or not?) did something horrible – he ran on vapor (hope? change?). So now, we have candidates like Ryan, running on….nothing. Seriously, his campaign site has nothing about what he stands for, believes, or is running to accomplish.
A vapid white dude shouldn’t stand a chance in the party of identity politics. And he really doesn’t. I don’t think he will make the first primary.
Ah, Bernie. Beloved of the economically illiterate and frat boys everywhere. Bernie lost the nod to Clinton in 2016, in no small part due to the Democratic Party being anything but. By the same token, he couldn’t get his Bernie Bros to the polls in any kind of numbers, and I expect that his people have failed to look into why.
Sanders does believe in recycling – his 2020 logo is the 2016 logo. No changes. Sanders failed to secure the nomination, and while I think he could have beaten Trump, his inability to translate energy into votes likely dooms him this time too. I think, especially with Biden in the mix, he won’t be a factor as deep into the primary season as he was in 2016.
Another national-level nobody. Who happens to have a single good idea. He advocates for a Mobile Congress – allowing members to vote remotely, thus spending more time in their districts. I do like that idea.
Swalwell was the only white, male candidate to not get a Biden Bump – he remains at the bottom of the pile. And I think he will be the first of the current candidates to drop out.
Elizabeth Warren should pair with O’Rourke to run on the ‘Culture Appropriated’ ticket. Honestly, her policies are awful enough that her dubious claims to being Cherokee should be overlooked. Warren is not just a standard Dem – she is a true believer, and all the more dangerous because of it. Like Sanders, she is very much of the ‘you pay, not me’ school.
It is likely she will wind up as a top VP choice, especially as the other candidates don’t play to the far left as well as she can. Her dubious claims of Indian heritage won’t allow her to be the actual nominee.
An unknown on the national stage. This is a theme in the Democratic field this cycle, it seems. Her political experience is losing a Congressional race. On the up side, not a life-long politician. On the down side, she is another pro-reparations Democrat.
Williamson won’t impact the race in the least – she is likely to be gone before the primaries begin.
Another non-politician! I do like this, as I think we need to move away form the idea of a political career being a positive thing, and back toward it being rare. Yang is a tech entrepreneur. He is selling himself on being ego-free, an obvious lie as he is running for the biggest ego-stroke in the country. Also supports a VAT to fund a UBI.
And this is the last of the candidates. Not a contender. Yang will likely be in the same boat as Moulton – a trivia answer.
When we last left the steaming mess that is the Smollett case, Chicago was suing to recoup $130,000 in overtime costs for the investigation, and every suburban chiefs of police organization had voted ‘no confidence’ in Cook County Prosecutor Kim Foxx.
And I thought the stupidity was over.
Today we learned that the Osundairo brothers are suing Smollett’s legal team, including Mark ‘Unindicted Avenatti Co-Conspirator’ Geragos for defamation. In Federal court. Read the complaint here:read more…
It comes to mind that I have not explained the foundational beliefs of what I am calling Blind Lemur Conservatism. That needs to change. The ideas of what is or is not conservative have become, at best, muddied over the years. And that harms the movement, and aids the opposition.
We need to first define conservatism, in the sense I believe in. This isn’t going to be the conservatism of the Republicans or Libertarians, this is what I believe matters in the context of the modern world.
Conservative foundational beliefs include:
- Absolute freedom of speech.
- Small Government – the smaller the better. In almost all cases, the private sector can do things better than the government, and should do them.
- Absolute freedom of religion – this must include freedom from religion as well, and total separation of religion and state.
- No Governmental Interference – the government should stay out of my life unless or until compelled to by a specific set of actions.
- Absolute freedom of association – this must include disassociation as well.
- Individual Liberty – the citizen is the foundation of the state, and until or unless they interfere with the rights of others, the state should respect their right to do as they will.
- The right to defend yourself as needed – this covers bearing arms, which is needed for a free society.
- Absolute freedom to enter into civil unions with any number of consenting adults – the state should not be in the business of defining family.
The problem with not doing this as a full-time thing (or with a collection of co-bloggers to pick up slack) is that sometimes reality is so far out of alignment that it takes too long to synthesize a post. By the time it’s ready, some other nonsense has happened, and it’s time to start over.
Look at the past few days….read more…